Smouha vs Haras El Hodood Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smouha v Haras El Hodood — Team-Based Signals
Smouha vs Haras El Hodood Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Haras El Hodood
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
2-0
HT 0-0
Haras El Hodood
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
2-2
HT 1-1
Haras El Hodood
MSR
Smouha 1-0 Haras El Hodood — Actual Match Statistics
Smouha squeezed past Haras El Hodood 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Smouha had 46% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 54%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.38 to 1.53 — on chances, Haras El Hodood could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Smouha and 0.50 for Haras El Hodood.
What was the final score of Smouha vs Haras El Hodood?
Smouha 1-0 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smouha vs Haras El Hodood?
Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Smouha 56%, draw 23%, Haras El Hodood 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.