Güney Kore U23 2-2 Endonezya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 25 Apr 2024

Güney Kore U23
2-2 HT 1-2
Endonezya U23
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2024

Güney Kore U23 vs Endonezya U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.35
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
13.85
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.79 — our 49% vs market 48.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
36%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Güney Kore U23 v Endonezya U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore U23 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya U23 EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.63/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.11
-53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
14.7 Crosses 10.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Güney Kore U23 2-2 Endonezya U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore U23
2-2
AWAY Endonezya U23
0.59 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
374 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Güney Kore U23 vs Endonezya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore U23 and Endonezya U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Güney Kore U23 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Güney Kore U23 had 47% of the ball to Endonezya U23's 53%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.59 to 1.45.

What was the final score of Güney Kore U23 vs Endonezya U23?

Güney Kore U23 2-2 Endonezya U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore U23 vs Endonezya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore U23 56%, draw 26%, Endonezya U23 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Güney Kore U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Güney Kore U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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