Royal Antwerp 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Apr 2024

Royal Antwerp
0-3 HT 0-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.42
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
11%
6.17
X/2
14%
4.83
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.14
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.34/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.30
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
15.6 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 1.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
422 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
03.09.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
28.05.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
03.05.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-2 HT 0-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
02.03.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
01.02.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK

Royal Antwerp 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
0-3
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.22 xG 1.53
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
450 Passes 228
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise ran out comfortable winners over Royal Antwerp 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Union Saint-Gilloise made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 63% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 37%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.22 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Royal Antwerp and 0.83 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Royal Antwerp 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 38%, draw 25%, Union Saint-Gilloise 37%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ BTTS Yes
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