Royal Antwerp 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Mar 2024

Royal Antwerp
1-1 HT 0-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.93
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2
19%
5.37
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.38
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.51/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.39
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
18.1 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
403 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
28.05.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
03.05.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-2 HT 0-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
02.03.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
01.02.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
15.01.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL

Royal Antwerp 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.14 xG 1.06
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
551 Passes 235
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp and Union Saint-Gilloise couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 68% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 32%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.14 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.00 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Royal Antwerp 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 34%, draw 25%, Union Saint-Gilloise 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
17 Mar 2024
15:30 St. Truidense vs Club Brugge Analysis →
20:30 Westerlo vs Genk Analysis →
20:30 Gent vs Sporting Charleroi Analysis →
20:30 Cercle Brugge vs RWDM 47 Analysis →
20:30 OH Leuven vs Mechelen Analysis →