Gent 5-0 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Mar 2024

Gent
5-0 HT 2-0
Sporting Charleroi
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Gent vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
17%
3.85
X/2
6%
11.05
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
15%
8.53
2/X
5%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.06/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.26
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.5 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gent vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
376 Passes 365
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
19.01.2023 Gent Gent 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
04.09.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
21.05.2022 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
30.04.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
22.01.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL

Gent 5-0 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
5-0
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.26 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
456 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent swept aside Sporting Charleroi 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Gent had 56% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 44%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.26 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gent and 1.00 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Gent vs Sporting Charleroi?

Gent 5-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gent 53%, draw 22%, Sporting Charleroi 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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