OH Leuven 1-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Mar 2024

OH Leuven
1-0 HT 0-0
Mechelen
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

OH Leuven vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
14%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.89
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
7%
5.94
X/2
16%
5.46
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.46
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OH Leuven v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.47/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
+38% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
15.5 Crosses 16.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

OH Leuven vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 359
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
08.04.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.09.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
15.01.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
18.09.2021 Mechelen Mechelen 2-0 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
21.03.2021 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven nicked a narrow win over Mechelen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; OH Leuven found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for OH Leuven and 1.00 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

OH Leuven 1-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 33%, draw 28%, Mechelen 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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