Cercle Brugge 4-0 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.61
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.63
6+ Goals
14%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
21.2
X/1
21%
3.59
X/2
6%
18.2
X/X
9%
8.3
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
9%
13.15
2/X
8%
21.1
Value flag · 1/X at 21.2 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.8pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.4pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.3pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.14/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/3.52
-4% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
24.0 Crosses 9.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RWDM 47
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.70 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
193 Passes 241
59% Pass Accuracy 60%
27 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 2-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
4-0
AWAY RWDM 47
2.65 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
244 Passes 235
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
38 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge cruised past RWDM 47 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cercle Brugge as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 51% of the ball to RWDM 47's 49%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.65 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs RWDM 47?

Cercle Brugge 4-0 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 54%, draw 26%, RWDM 47 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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