Motor Lublin 1-1 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 24%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.57
-39% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-1 HT 0-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
1-1
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin and Chrobry Glogow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Motor Lublin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 60% of the ball to Chrobry Glogow's 40%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Chrobry Glogow?

Motor Lublin 1-1 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 50%, draw 24%, Chrobry Glogow 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motor Lublin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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