Nieciecza 0-1 Odra Opole — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Odra Opole EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.74/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.59
+12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Odra Opole
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Odra Opole Odra Opole 2-1 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
12.11.2022 Odra Opole Odra Opole 1-2 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
15.07.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-1 HT 1-1 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
30.05.2021 Odra Opole Odra Opole 1-0 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
09.12.2020 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 0-1 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
25.07.2020 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 0-0 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
0-1
AWAY Odra Opole
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Odra Opole
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odra Opole squeezed past Nieciecza 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Odra Opole made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 54% of the ball to Odra Opole's 46%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nieciecza and 1.00 for Odra Opole.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Odra Opole?

Nieciecza 0-1 Odra Opole in the Poland - 1st Division on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Odra Opole?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 40%, draw 26%, Odra Opole 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nieciecza), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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