Yunnan Yukun 2-3 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
4.64
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
22.9
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
8%
7.06
X/2
7%
5.28
X/X
8%
5.33
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
20%
2.96
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.9 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.70/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.40
-33% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.0 Crosses 22.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2-3
AWAY Shanghai Port
2.49 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
229 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port squeezed past Yunnan Yukun 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Shanghai Port made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 47% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 53%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.49 to 0.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Yunnan Yukun.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port?

Yunnan Yukun 2-3 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 38%, draw 23%, Shanghai Port 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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