Beijing Guoan 1-0 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
4.57
X/2
9%
9.68
X/X
6%
6.3
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
11%
6.82
2/X
7%
15.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.57 — our 28% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.3pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.97/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.35
+21% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
23.9 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
15.06.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
04.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
05.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
04.11.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
07.08.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-0 HT 2-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
1-0
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.94 xG 0.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
488 Passes 247
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan squeezed past Henan Jianye 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 63% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 37%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.94 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.33 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?

Beijing Guoan 1-0 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 55%, draw 18%, Henan Jianye 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
25 Apr 2025
15:00 Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port Analysis →