Marbella 2-0 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.03/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.04
-12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 3-2 HT 2-1 Marbella Marbella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
2-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella saw off Atletico Madrid II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Marbella found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Marbella had 41% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 59%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Atletico Madrid II?

Marbella 2-0 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marbella 34%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid II 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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