Atletico Madrid II 3-2 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.36
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.71/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.61
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
3-2
AWAY Marbella
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II edged past Marbella 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 51% of the ball to Marbella's 49%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Marbella?

Atletico Madrid II 3-2 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 45%, draw 27%, Marbella 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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