Gimnastic Tarragona 2-3 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.79
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.19/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.03
-6% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
25.11.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 3-0 HT 2-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
19.05.2018 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 5-3 HT 0-2 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
17.12.2017 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2-3
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa squeezed past Gimnastic Tarragona 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 63% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 37%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 2.00 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Cultural Leonesa?

Gimnastic Tarragona 2-3 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 41%, draw 29%, Cultural Leonesa 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5
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