Hercules 1-0 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.24/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.17
-23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla II
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
05.04.2009 Hercules Hercules 8-0 HT 5-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS2
02.11.2008 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-2 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
01.06.2008 Sevilla II Sevilla II 3-4 HT 1-2 Hercules Hercules İS2
06.01.2008 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
1-0
AWAY Sevilla II
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules squeezed past Sevilla II 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hercules as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hercules had 43% of the ball to Sevilla II's 57%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hercules had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Hercules and 1.50 for Sevilla II.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Sevilla II?

Hercules 1-0 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hercules 48%, draw 28%, Sevilla II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hercules), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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