Ceuta 1-1 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Dec 2024

Ceuta
1-1 HT 0-0
Villarreal II
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Ceuta vs Villarreal II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceuta v Villarreal II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.81/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.90
+31% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta and Villarreal II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Villarreal II?

Ceuta 1-1 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 43%, draw 27%, Villarreal II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ceuta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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