Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.56
Over
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No Pick
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.08/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.43
-34% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 0-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
19.10.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
25.02.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-2 HT 0-1 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
26.08.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3-0
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 swept aside Levski Krumovgrad 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 59% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 41%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Levski Krumovgrad led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.00 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 49%, draw 28%, Levski Krumovgrad 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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