Slavia Sofia 3-2 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
2.13/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.98
+24% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-2 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
02.08.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
13.04.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
22.10.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
3-2
AWAY Hebar 1918
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia squeezed past Hebar 1918 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 57% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 43%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.25 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Slavia Sofia 3-2 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 49%, draw 26%, Hebar 1918 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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25 Apr 2025
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