Slavia Sofia 3-2 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.71
Over
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No Pick
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.77/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.45
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
13.04.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
22.10.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
3-2
AWAY Hebar 1918
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia edged past Hebar 1918 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 58% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.00 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Slavia Sofia 3-2 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 51%, draw 25%, Hebar 1918 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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