Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.68
Over
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.6pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 15%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +13%
1.55/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.79
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
17.02.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
20.08.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1-0
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv edged past Levski Krumovgrad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 68% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 32%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Krumovgrad led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.33 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 52%, draw 27%, Levski Krumovgrad 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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