Levski Krumovgrad 2-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 54%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-2% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
2-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad nicked a narrow win over Botev Plovdiv 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 43% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 57%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Levski Krumovgrad 2-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 32%, draw 24%, Botev Plovdiv 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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