Slavia Sofia 3-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 24%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.06/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
-6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 3-0 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
15.04.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
10.02.2018 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 3-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
3-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia cruised past PFC Beroe 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 62% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 38%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Slavia Sofia and 2.00 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Slavia Sofia 3-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 44%, draw 30%, PFC Beroe 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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