OFK Pirin 1-2 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 66%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.02
-14% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Pirin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Pirin
1-2
AWAY Levski Sofia
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFK Pirin vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia edged past OFK Pirin 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFK Pirin had 41% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 59%, shots finished 4-17.

What was the final score of OFK Pirin vs Levski Sofia?

OFK Pirin 1-2 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Pirin vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split OFK Pirin 23%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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