Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 48%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.47/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.95
+132% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
20.08.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv nicked a narrow win over Levski Krumovgrad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 32% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 68%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Levski Krumovgrad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 1.00 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 28%, draw 28%, Botev Plovdiv 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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