Pyramids 3-2 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
71%
1.28
Over
29%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.81
No
66%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1
42%
1.67
2-3
36%
1.92
4-5
16%
8.47
6+
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
3%
18.4
X/1
22%
3.91
X/2
10%
9.64
X/X
26%
3.07
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
7%
9.77
2/X
3%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
75%
-4.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
25%
+4.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.7pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 21%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
0.35/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.00
+95% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 1.0
29.0 Crosses 1.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.63 xG 0.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 367
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
3-2
AWAY Orlando Pirates
2.24 xG 0.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 Passes 188
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids nicked a narrow win over Orlando Pirates 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 61% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 39%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.24 to 0.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pyramids's control.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Orlando Pirates?

Pyramids 3-2 Orlando Pirates in the CAF Champions League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 48%, draw 33%, Orlando Pirates 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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