PSM Makassar 0-1 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.45/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.79
+2% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bali United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
178 Passes 302
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
07.12.2024 Bali United Bali United 1-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
11.08.2023 Bali United Bali United 3-2 HT 1-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
20.01.2023 Bali United Bali United 2-2 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
29.07.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-0 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
07.02.2022 Bali United Bali United 2-2 HT 2-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
17.10.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-1 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United nicked a narrow win over PSM Makassar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.50 for Bali United.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Bali United?

PSM Makassar 0-1 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 46%, draw 24%, Bali United 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PSM Makassar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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