Liepaja 2-2 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 25%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.78
-47% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
27.9 Crosses 22.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.15 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
318 Passes 266
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.08.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-2 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.06.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 2-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.04.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 2-6 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
11.09.2022 Super Nova Super Nova 2-2 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
27.06.2022 Liepaja Liepaja 2-0 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
2-2
AWAY Super Nova
1.74 xG 1.58
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
205 Passes 304
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Liepaja vs Super Nova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Liepaja and Super Nova shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25 Apr 2025. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Liepaja had 41% of the ball to Super Nova's 59%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 1.74 to 1.58.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Liepaja and 0.83 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Super Nova?

Liepaja 2-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 47%, draw 26%, Super Nova 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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