Kalisz 2-1 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 25% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.59/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.15
-1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
0W-2D-1L
AWAY LKS Lodz II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.03.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 2-1 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II POL2
27.08.2023 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 3-0 HT 2-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
2-1
AWAY LKS Lodz II
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz nicked a narrow win over LKS Lodz II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kalisz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kalisz had 44% of the ball to LKS Lodz II's 56%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, LKS Lodz II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kalisz and 1.67 for LKS Lodz II.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs LKS Lodz II?

Kalisz 2-1 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 44%, draw 27%, LKS Lodz II 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalisz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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