Famalicao 1-1 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

Famalicao
1-1 HT 1-0
Sporting Braga
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Famalicao vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.5
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
12%
7.09
X/2
8%
4.78
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
14%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-7.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Famalicao v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.12/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.24
+15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.0 Crosses 20.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Famalicao vs Sporting Braga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.25 xG 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 437
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-3 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
18.01.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
11.08.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-2 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
05.02.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 4-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
12.08.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 0-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
15.05.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 3-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR

Famalicao 1-1 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
1-1
AWAY Sporting Braga
2.03 xG 0.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
289 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao and Sporting Braga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Famalicao had 44% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 56%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 2.03 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Famalicao and 2.50 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Sporting Braga?

Famalicao 1-1 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 32%, draw 32%, Sporting Braga 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Braga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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