NEC 2-0 Kiboga Young — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-20.3pp
23%
Draw
13%
+10.0pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.6pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 8%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.66/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/3.15
-25% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -42%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kiboga Young
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.01.2025 Kiboga Young 0-1 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
2-0
AWAY Kiboga Young
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NEC vs Kiboga Young
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC beat Kiboga Young 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, NEC had 56% of the ball to Kiboga Young's 44%, shots finished 22-5.

What was the final score of NEC vs Kiboga Young?

NEC 2-0 Kiboga Young in the Uganda - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Kiboga Young?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split NEC 61%, draw 23%, Kiboga Young 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✓ BTTS No
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