Uganda Police vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v URA — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Uganda Police
UGA
Uganda Police 2-0 URA — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police got the better of URA 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was URA at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Uganda Police had 56% of the ball to URA's 44%, shots finished 18-13.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, URA led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Uganda Police and 0.50 for URA.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs URA?
Uganda Police 2-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs URA?
Before kick-off our model rated an URA win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 26%, draw 31%, URA 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (URA) went the other way.