URA 1-0 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 Jan 2025

URA
1-0 HT 0-0
Uganda Police
📅07/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

URA vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

URA v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME URA EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.89/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.66
-32% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

URA vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME URA
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Uganda Police
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
30.11.2021 URA URA 0-0 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
POST-MATCH URA vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA edged past Uganda Police 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of URA vs Uganda Police?

URA 1-0 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for URA vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split URA 49%, draw 30%, Uganda Police 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (URA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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