Kitara 1-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
24%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.2pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 37%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.67/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
-30% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
1W-1D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
09.02.2024 Kitara Kitara 1-1 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
15.09.2023 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 1-1 Kitara Kitara UGA
POST-MATCH Kitara vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara nicked a narrow win over SC Villa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Kitara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kitara had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kitara and 1.00 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Kitara vs SC Villa?

Kitara 1-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kitara 39%, draw 34%, SC Villa 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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