Mbarara City vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Kampala City
UGA
1-0
HT 1-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Mbarara City 3-0 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
Mbarara City cruised past Kampala City 3-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 23% / 37% / 40% — and on the day Mbarara City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mbarara City had 44% of the ball to Kampala City's 56%, shots finished 4-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kampala City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mbarara City and 2.00 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Kampala City?
Mbarara City 3-0 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 23%, draw 37%, Kampala City 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kampala City), Under 2.5 went the other way.