Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.54
Over
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
40%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.0pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.27/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.04
+7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 0-2 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
09.04.2024 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 2-2 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
24.09.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-1 HT 0-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
15.04.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-1 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
09.10.2022 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 3-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
26.09.2021 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 0-4 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
2-1
AWAY Livyi Bereh
9 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk edged past Livyi Bereh 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Zorya Luhansk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 1.17 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Livyi Bereh?

Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 39%, draw 29%, Livyi Bereh 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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