Inhulets 0-1 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
7.95
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.67
Over
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
41%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
10%
+14.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
53%
Away Win
71%
-18.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inhulets EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.47/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/0.00
-39% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inhulets
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oleksandria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-1 HT 2-1 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
24.04.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
25.08.2022 Inhulets Inhulets 1-2 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
10.09.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
21.03.2021 Inhulets Inhulets 1-0 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
18.10.2020 Oleksandria Oleksandria 4-3 HT 4-1 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inhulets
0-1
AWAY Oleksandria
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inhulets vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria nicked a narrow win over Inhulets 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Inhulets and 1.50 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Inhulets vs Oleksandria?

Inhulets 0-1 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inhulets vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Inhulets 24%, draw 24%, Oleksandria 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 Apr 2025
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