Oleksandria 2-1 Inhulets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.43
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.71
Over
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
66%
-19.8pp
32%
Draw
22%
+10.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Inhulets EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.82/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.75
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Inhulets
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.04.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
25.08.2022 Inhulets Inhulets 1-2 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
10.09.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
21.03.2021 Inhulets Inhulets 1-0 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
18.10.2020 Oleksandria Oleksandria 4-3 HT 4-1 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
30.09.2020 Oleksandria Oleksandria 4-1 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oleksandria
2-1
AWAY Inhulets
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Inhulets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria squeezed past Inhulets 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oleksandria had 52% of the ball to Inhulets's 48%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Oleksandria and 1.00 for Inhulets.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Inhulets?

Oleksandria 2-1 Inhulets in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Inhulets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 46%, draw 32%, Inhulets 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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