26/10/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon Kyiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
35%
Draw
28%
29%
Away Win
26%
52%
Under 2.5
56%
48%
Over 2.5
44%
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
51%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karpaty Lviv v Obolon Kyiv — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Karpaty Lviv
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Obolon Kyiv
EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
1.14/1.36
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.60/1.80
-11%
/
-31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
-35%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
334 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Karpaty Lviv edged past Obolon Kyiv 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day Karpaty Lviv made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon Kyiv?
Karpaty Lviv 1-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Obolon Kyiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 36%, draw 35%, Obolon Kyiv 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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26 Oct 2024