Kryvbas KR 3-1 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.67
Over
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.5pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.83/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.78
-37% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
2W-0D-0L
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.02.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 0-3 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
13.08.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-0 HT 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR got the better of LNZ Cherkasy 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 37% / 26%) promised a tight game; Kryvbas KR found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.00 for LNZ Cherkasy.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Kryvbas KR 3-1 LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 37%, draw 37%, LNZ Cherkasy 26%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/26) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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