Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

Plymouth Argyle
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Port Vale
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Plymouth Argyle vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.33
Draw
14%
4.81
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.33
Over
63%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.45
2-3
42%
1.86
4-5
30%
2.68
6+
11%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1.66
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
3%
17.2
X/1
21%
3.87
X/2
4%
14.9
X/X
8%
6.27
2/1 ✗
3%
22.65
2/2
6%
12.8
2/X
3%
20.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Plymouth Argyle v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Plymouth Argyle The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale The Market 15%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.66
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.48
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2

Plymouth Argyle vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Port Vale
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 224
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
02.12.2022 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-2 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
14.09.2019 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2
21.07.2014 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-4 HT 0-2 Port Vale Port Vale HAZ
14.01.2014 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-3 HT 2-1 Port Vale Port Vale FAK
05.01.2014 Port Vale Port Vale 2-2 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle FAK

Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2 - 1
AWAY Port Vale
1.27 xG 0.95
27% Ball Possession 73%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 11
97 Passes 415
60% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Plymouth Argyle vs Port Vale
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Plymouth Argyle found just enough to beat Port Vale 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Plymouth Argyle as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (63%) landed.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 27% of the ball to Port Vale's 73%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.27 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.00 for Port Vale.

Plymouth Argyle vs Port Vale Result & Final Score

Plymouth Argyle 2 - 1 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Plymouth Argyle vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 75%, draw 14%, Port Vale 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Argyle), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✓ Over 2.5
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