Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Port Vale v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Port Vale 0-1 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Port Vale 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 57% to 43% in Port Vale's favour, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.14 to 0.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Port Vale.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Port Vale against 0.67 for Plymouth Argyle.
Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle Result & Final Score
Port Vale 0 - 1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 46%, draw 28%, Plymouth Argyle 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Port Vale), BTTS Yes went the other way.