Northampton Town vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Northampton Town v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Northampton Town 1-3 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City put daylight between themselves and Northampton Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Northampton Town had 51% of the ball to Cardiff City's 49%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.41 to 0.78 — by the quality of chances, Northampton Town deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Northampton Town and 1.17 for Cardiff City.
Northampton Town vs Cardiff City Result & Final Score
Northampton Town 1 - 3 Cardiff City in the England - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Northampton Town vs Cardiff City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 25%, draw 26%, Cardiff City 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.