AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
AFC Wimbledon v Wigan Athletic — Team-Based Signals
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Wigan Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Wigan Athletic found just enough to beat AFC Wimbledon 2-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
From a near-even 32% / 32% / 35% read, it was Wigan Athletic who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 54% to 46% in AFC Wimbledon's favour, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.73 to 1.93 — on chances created, Wigan Athletic won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for AFC Wimbledon against 1.83 for Wigan Athletic.
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan Athletic Result & Final Score
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan Athletic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 32%, draw 32%, Wigan Athletic 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.