Worcester City 4-4 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worcester City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.68/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.54
+11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worcester City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spalding United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.12.2025 Spalding United Spalding United 2-2 HT 1-0 Worcester City Worcester City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Worcester City vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worcester City and Spalding United shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Worcester City vs Spalding United?

Worcester City 4-4 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worcester City vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worcester City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Worcester City 38%, draw 29%, Spalding United 33%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worcester City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worcester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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