Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.32/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.45
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Leiston
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2026 Leiston Leiston 3-3 HT 2-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
22.03.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
12.11.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
24.02.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-2 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-2 HT 0-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch and Leiston couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alvechurch at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alvechurch and 1.83 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Leiston?

Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 43%, draw 24%, Leiston 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alvechurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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