Leiston 2-1 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -25%
1.51/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.77
-7% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Alvechurch
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-2 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-2 HT 0-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.11.2022 Leiston Leiston 4-3 HT 3-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch FAK
24.09.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-3 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
29.01.2022 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston squeezed past Alvechurch 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Leiston and 1.67 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Alvechurch?

Leiston 2-1 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leiston 46%, draw 27%, Alvechurch 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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