Basford United 2-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.18/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.05/1.49
-19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basford United
2-1
AWAY Stockton Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basford United edged past Stockton Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basford United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Basford United had 50% of the ball to Stockton Town's 50%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Stockton Town?

Basford United 2-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basford United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Basford United 41%, draw 25%, Stockton Town 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basford United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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