AFC Telford United 1-3 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.67/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.80
+2% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kettering Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 4-0 HT 2-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
31.10.2023 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-3 HT 1-2 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
17.01.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-1 HT 1-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İCON
16.08.2022 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
22.02.2022 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-2 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
11.12.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-2 HT 0-2 Kettering Town Kettering Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
1-3
AWAY Kettering Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town beat AFC Telford United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 52% of the ball to Kettering Town's 48%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Telford United and 1.33 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Kettering Town?

AFC Telford United 1-3 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 46%, draw 25%, Kettering Town 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Telford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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