AFC Telford United 4-0 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.74/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.83
-64% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kettering Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2023 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-3 HT 1-2 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
17.01.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-1 HT 1-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İCON
16.08.2022 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
22.02.2022 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-2 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
11.12.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-2 HT 0-2 Kettering Town Kettering Town İCON
12.12.2020 Kettering Town Kettering Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United cruised past Kettering Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AFC Telford United and 1.33 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Kettering Town?

AFC Telford United 4-0 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 53%, draw 21%, Kettering Town 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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