Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +24%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.61
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Leiston
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
24.02.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-2 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-2 HT 0-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.11.2022 Leiston Leiston 4-3 HT 3-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch FAK
24.09.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-3 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch and Leiston couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alvechurch and 2.33 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Leiston?

Alvechurch 1-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 38%, draw 30%, Leiston 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alvechurch), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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